Evidence

Evidence,
on the record

What we publish, when we publish it, and what we are prepared to say we do not know. A programme record is only worth reading if the standard behind it is visible.

Our standard

A number without
a method is
an opinion

Impact reporting has a credibility problem, and it is largely self-inflicted. Reach figures count attendance. Round numbers appear without a baseline. Changes are attributed to a programme with no comparison group and no acknowledgement that something else might have caused them.

None of that survives contact with an auditor, and increasingly none of it survives contact with a disclosure requirement either. So we hold to four rules, and we would rather publish a smaller number that holds than a larger one that does not.

Four rules

No outcome without a baseline

If we did not measure the starting position, we do not report a change. Where a baseline was not possible, the reporting states that and describes what we observed instead.

Attrition is a published number

Participants lost between intake and endline are reported as a count and a proportion. Results are not quietly recalculated on whoever remained.

Attribution is claimed only where it is earned

Where there is no control or comparison group, we report the measured change and say explicitly that we cannot separate our contribution from everything else happening in that district.

Underperformance is published alongside results

Every programme review states what did not work and what we would change. A record with no failures in it has not been examined.

Programme record

Live status for every programme. Figures are added here as each endline completes and its verification pack is assembled — we do not publish interim numbers, and we do not publish reach figures in place of outcomes.

ProgrammeAreaPrimary indicatorBaselineEndlineStatus
Maahwari Menstrual health & circular products Sustained access at follow-up (SDG 6.2) Complete In field Reporting on completion
Maahwari Education retention School days retained per cycle (SDG 4.1) Complete In field Reporting on completion
Climate resilience Flood response — hygiene & water Households reached within 30 days (SDG 13.1) Complete In field Reporting on completion
Waste displacement Circular economy Single-use waste displaced per participant (SDG 12.5) Method published Pending reuse data Method only

Where a row shows “Method only”, it means we have published how a figure would be calculated but have not yet collected the data that would let us state it. We would rather show the gap than fill it with an estimate.

What a verification
pack contains

Assembled at close for every programme, and complete enough that a sceptical reader could disagree with our conclusion using our own data.

  • The problem statement agreed at scoping, including stated measurement limits
  • Full indicator set with SDG target and national framework mapping
  • Baseline: population, instrument, sample, date and method
  • Endline: the same, plus interval and comparison basis
  • Raw instruments as administered, in the language used
  • Every exclusion, with the reason for it
  • Every adjustment, with the reasoning behind it
  • Cost per outcome modelled at design, restated against actuals
  • Programme review, including what underperformed

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